5

Run Wild
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +39.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |