5

Run Wild

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 85

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

36%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 12114/05C6C6 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 7f110y Fm 118 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 80 par25/06C6OR 80C6 @ Monmouth Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 78 par16/08C6OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Monmouth Park?1st2nd1
2026-06-25Delaware Park?3rd4th1
2026-05-14Belmont At The Big A?4th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0525/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +39.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20264th11/486%25%-0.61
25/06/20263rd6/594%71%-0.22
16/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18