6
Scarlett's Halo
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 92
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 23/04/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |