8
Embrace The Moment
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 100
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Weather Vane Stakes · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |