5
For The Ladies
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Weather Vane Stakes · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 0% | -0.97 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |