2
Just Philtored
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Weather Vane Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |