Sneaky Good
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 93
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Weather Vane Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-10-05 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |