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2

Danielle

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 52

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Del Mar 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C7C6 @ Del Mar 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 73 par27/08C6OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Del Mar?4th1st+3
2026-08-07Del Mar?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +10.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20267th11/271%33%-0.38
27/08/20264th9/153%25%-0.28