2
Palace Mischief
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 55
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/11/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |