4

Salty Siss

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turf Paradise 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 69 par19/03C6OR 69C6 @ Turf Paradise 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 67 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Turf Paradise 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 5f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 74 par2/05C6OR 74C9 @ Santa Anita 25/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 70 parC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 64 par19/06C9OR 64C9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 57 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Del Mar 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 62 par26/07C9OR 62C9 @ Del Mar 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 64 par11/09C9OR 64projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Los Alamitos Racecourse?2nd2nd0
2026-08-24Del Mar?4th4th0
2026-07-26Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-07-05Los Alamitos Racecourse?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19Los Alamitos Racecourse?9th9th0
2026-05-25Santa Anita?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0325/0526/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
09/04/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
02/05/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
25/05/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
19/06/20269th12/137%0%-0.37
05/07/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89
26/07/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
24/08/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
11/09/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16