Una Mirada
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turf Paradise | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-01-06 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 06/01/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |