Fun To Run
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 75
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 27/11/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/01/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 09/02/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 29/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 02/08/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |