6

Go Prancealot

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Del Mar 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1228/11C9C9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 64 par7/12C9OR 64C6 @ Santa Anita 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 63 par17/01C6OR 63C9 @ Santa Anita 15/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 71 par15/02C9OR 71C9 @ Emerald Downs 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 51 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 51 par25/05C9OR 51C8 @ Emerald Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 62 par9/08C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Emerald Downs?1st1st0
2026-05-25Emerald Downs?1st2nd1
2026-02-15Santa Anita?10th11th1
2026-01-17Santa Anita?8th6th+2
2025-12-07Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th6th1
2025-11-08Del Mar?5th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/117/1217/0115/0225/059/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20255th50/10%56%+0.56
07/12/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
17/01/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
15/02/202610th16/116%25%+0.09
25/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
09/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24