3
Miss Miche Lada
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 66
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 04/04/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 20/04/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 11/05/2025 | 1st | 1/100 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 26/05/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |