1
Selsae
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 82
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |