5
Toulouse Detrac
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 71
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 13/06/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |