4
Majestic Palisades
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 101
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 25% | -0.70 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |