6
The Gypsy Cowboy
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 105
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 26/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |