5
Unpretentious
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 96
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Golden State Racing | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Golden State Racing | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Fresno | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2015 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/07/2015 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 27/10/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/11/2024 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |