6
Halninethousand
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 78
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |