Its The Bandit
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |