2

Olympian Thirst

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 12024/05C6C6 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 69 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 69 par14/06C6OR 69C6 @ Del Mar 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 5f 122 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 75 par18/07C6OR 75C6 @ Del Mar 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 75 par16/08C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Del Mar?9th9th0
2026-07-18Del Mar?4th4th0
2026-06-14Santa Anita?2nd2nd0
2026-05-24Santa Anita?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0514/0618/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
14/06/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
18/07/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
16/08/20269th50/10%11%+0.11