3

Blazing Peme

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turf Paradise 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 90 par26/03C6OR 90C7 @ Turf Paradise 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 4f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Emerald Downs 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 91 par9/05C7OR 91C7 @ Emerald Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Emerald Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 90 par6/06C7OR 90C7 @ Emerald Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Emerald Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 91 par19/07C7OR 91C8 @ Emerald Downs 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 91 · 6f 122 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Emerald Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 87 par6/09C7OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Emerald Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-23Emerald Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-19Emerald Downs?5th4th+1
2026-07-12Emerald Downs?5th4th+1
2026-06-06Emerald Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-17Emerald Downs?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0317/0519/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/03/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
21/04/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
09/05/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
17/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
06/06/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
12/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
19/07/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
23/08/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
06/09/20263rd8/158%33%-0.25