1
Devil Moon
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |