8
Mischief's King
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2024-04-26 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-04-08 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 16/03/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 08/04/2024 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 26/04/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/05/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |