5
Lavender Love
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 106
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - E.b. Johnston Stakes · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/02/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |