3
Man O Rose
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 105
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - E.b. Johnston Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Santa Anita | BHA115 | 1st | 9th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 10/11/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/02/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |