4
Mr. Disrespectful
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 106
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - E.b. Johnston Stakes · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | BHA113 | 8th | 16th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |