6

Eshbelia

5yo Filly · 9-3

Martinique · Prix Genybet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 08/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Ver 1228/10C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 16/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 112C0 @ Deauville 20/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 12320/11C?C0 @ Deauville 18/12/2024 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 119C0 @ Chantilly 30/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 11830/12C?C0 @ Chantilly 07/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 117C0 @ Chantilly 17/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 11217/03C?C0 @ Martinique 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1324 @ Martinique 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13816/054projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Martinique42nd2nd0
2026-03-07Martinique?2nd2nd0
2025-03-17Chantilly?12th12th0
2025-02-07Chantilly?10th10th0
2024-12-30Chantilly?12th12th0
2024-12-18Deauville?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1018/1217/0316/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20249th20/10%33%+0.33
16/11/20245th28/10%69%+0.69
20/11/20248th14/126%13%-0.14
18/12/202414th40/10%13%+0.13
30/12/202412th40/10%15%+0.15
07/02/202510th40/10%10%+0.10
17/03/202512th50/10%0%0.00
07/03/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
16/05/20262nd5/493%83%-0.10