7

La Vale

5yo Filly · 8-12

Martinique · Prix Genybet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 03/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1193/03C?C0 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 128C0 @ Mont De Marsan 12/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12812/04C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 29/04/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 124C0 @ La Teste De Buch 02/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1212/06C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1304 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12227/0244 @ Marseille 09/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1244 @ Martinique 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13216/054projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Martinique41st1st0
2026-03-09Marseille44th4th0
2026-02-27Pornichet49th9th0
2025-06-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?12th12th0
2025-06-02La Teste De Buch?10th10th0
2025-04-29Bordeaux Le Bouscat?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0329/0427/0216/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20254th22/10%79%+0.79
23/03/20258th11/142%46%+0.04
12/04/20252nd10/147%93%+0.45
29/04/202513th12/137%14%-0.23
02/06/202510th25/10%40%+0.40
11/06/202512th18/15%21%+0.16
27/02/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
09/03/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
16/05/20261st4/596%100%+0.04