7

La Vale
5yo Filly · 8-12
Martinique · Prix Genybet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Martinique | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 23/03/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 29/04/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 02/06/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/06/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |