1
Ourea
4yo Filly · 9-10
Martinique · Prix Genybet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-18 | Vichy | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-22 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/01/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 13/01/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/01/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 11/04/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 09/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 23/05/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/07/2025 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |