5
Royal Etincelle
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Martinique · Prix Genybet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Tarbes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 26/06/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 20/12/2025 | 14th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.71 |
| 23/02/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |