IvyArcIvyArc
7

Lehman

7yo Horse · 9-2

Martinique · Prix Georges Langeron Stakes · 7f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 27/09/2022 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 12327/09C5C0 @ Martinique 25/02/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13225/02C?C0 @ Martinique 10/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 12810/11C?C5 @ Martinique 19/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 13019/04C5C5 @ Martinique 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1288/11C5C5 @ Martinique 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1257/03C54 @ Martinique 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13216/054projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Martinique45th5th0
2026-03-07Martinique?6th7th−1
2025-11-08Martinique?5th6th−1
2025-04-19Martinique?4th5th−1
2024-11-10Martinique?2nd2nd0
2024-02-25Martinique?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0919/0416/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/202210th9/276%18%-0.58
25/02/20242nd9/153%89%+0.36
10/11/20242nd11/271%90%+0.19
19/04/20254th18/15%73%+0.67
08/11/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
07/03/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
16/05/20265th3/184%33%-0.51