6
Libertin Gris
7yo Gelding · 8-12
Martinique · Prix Des Accacias Handicap · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | Martinique | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-02-25 | Martinique | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Martinique | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2021-11-16 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2021-08-21 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2021-08-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2021 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/08/2021 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 16/11/2021 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 16/10/2022 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/02/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |