2

Klash Karayib

4yo Filly · 9-9

Martinique · Prix Des Monceliniers Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Martinique 17/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11617/05C5C0 @ Martinique 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1308/11C?4 @ Martinique 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13216/054projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Martinique45th5th0
2025-11-08Martinique?4th4th0
2025-05-17Martinique?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/058/1116/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend -24.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
08/11/20254th11/271%50%-0.21
16/05/20265th18/15%20%+0.15