3
Nuit Chope
5yo Filly · 9-9
Martinique · Prix Des Monceliniers Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Martinique | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Martinique | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-07-08 | Dax | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-01-25 | Pau | ? | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2023-12-04 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2023 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/01/2024 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/03/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/07/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 19/04/2025 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 22% | -0.67 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |