Gotta Get It Right
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 28
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |