King Of Fog
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 57
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |