6
Twin Lights
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 67
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-10-02 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 28/12/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |