8
Bliss Street
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 63
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |