Brockton
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 86
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |