4

Double Miles

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 72

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 59 · 1m39y Gd 119 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 59 par28/02C9OR 59C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m39y 119 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 61 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 58 par1/04C9OR 58C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Delaware Park 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 77 par4/06C7OR 77C8 @ Penn National 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 80 par24/07C7OR 80C8 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m 117 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Delaware Park 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m 119 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 73 par9/09C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-08-08Delaware Park?8th8th0
2026-07-24Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-06-24Penn National?4th4th0
2026-06-04Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-05-02Tampa Bay Downs?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/022/0524/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
15/03/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
01/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
02/05/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17
04/06/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
24/06/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
24/07/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
08/08/20268th4/179%0%-0.79
09/09/20266th10/382%17%-0.66