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Lumber Legacy

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 66

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 47 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 47 par16/01C9OR 47C9 @ Monmouth Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 51 · 6f 123 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 51 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 51 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 51 par23/05C9OR 51C9 @ Monmouth Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 59 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 62 par18/07C9OR 62C9 @ Monmouth Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 66 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 66 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 65 par2/08C9OR 65C9 @ Monmouth Park 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 64 · 1m110y Fm 125 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 62 · 1m70y Gd 125 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 62 par28/08C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Monmouth Park?4th4th0
2026-08-15Monmouth Park?1st2nd−1
2026-08-02Monmouth Park?6th7th−1
2026-07-26Monmouth Park?5th6th−1
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?3rd4th−1
2026-06-06Monmouth Park?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/016/062/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
09/05/20265th7/282%33%-0.48
23/05/20263rd8/158%33%-0.25
06/06/20264th2/189%57%-0.32
18/07/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
26/07/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
02/08/20266th8/1196%17%-0.80
15/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
28/08/20264th4/179%0%-0.79