3
Fully Authorized
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 01/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 02/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |