2
I'm Due
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 4/9 | 98% | 40% | -0.58 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |