T V Man
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 79
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |