9
That Sun Of A Gun
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |