4
Vesparo
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |