Dallas Star
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 8 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | -3th | +7 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA100 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 7th | 0th | +6 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | 1 | 4th | -5th | +7 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | -4th | +7 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | 1 | 2nd | -7th | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |