17

Down After Dark

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#19

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

Timeform

Commentary

Wings of Eagles gelding who could hardly have shown any less completed start over hurdles. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 1563/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-28Wexford?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20269th200/10%20%+0.20