4

Ealu Tapa

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut form behind when winning 13-runner bumper at Ballinrobe (2m) in July. Not quite at that level when fifth on hurdles debut 4 weeks ago but he'll build on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1686/06C?C0 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m7f119y Gd 16821/07C?C8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 16622/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?5th5th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-06-06Punchestown?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0621/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 3-18 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend +10.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20269th11/271%53%-0.18
21/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
22/08/20265th11/271%73%+0.02